Market Notes
Dated notes on what the market did and what it means. Where the price moved, why it probably moved, and how to read the next one.
14 piecesLast updated Aug 18, 2026Written by Jeff Dawson
- Market Notes3 min
What the summer did to the board, which was almost nothing
Three months of camps, trades and injuries, and 21 of 32 Super Bowl prices moved by a fifth of a percentage point or less. The stillness is the finding.
- Market Notes3 min
Where the model and the market disagree most
Eight gaps on the 15 August board. We could explain three of them. Saying which five we could not is the more useful half.
- Market Notes3 min
Where the Super Bowl board is widest
Five books, one championship market, and a 233% difference in what the same position pays.