Market Notes
Dated notes on what the market did and what it means. Where the price moved, why it probably moved, and how to read the next one.
14 piecesLast updated Aug 18, 2026Written by Jeff Dawson
- Market Theory3 min
Nobody sharpens a number nobody bets
Five books land within a few percent of each other at the top of the board and twice as far apart at the bottom. The gap measures attention, not carelessness.
- Market Notes3 min
Eight win totals moved a full game
Championship prices sat still all summer. Win totals did not, and every one of the eight moves has a reported cause behind it.
- Market Notes3 min
Where the Super Bowl board is widest
Five books, one championship market, and a 233% difference in what the same position pays.